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CEE Exchange Rates Report for June 23rd– 27th

  • QU Economics Research Team
  • 6 days ago
  • 2 min read

 

CEE Currencies Index 


 Source: Eurostat and own calculations. Exchange rates are inverted to be Euro per local currency (i.e., an increase indicates a stronger domestic currency) and then indexed to 100 at the start of the period.  

 

The week of June 23-June 27 was a bit active for the CEE currencies compared to last week, as despite a relatively straightforward start, many of the currencies appear to be all over the place by the end of the week. While Romanian leu (purple) was a more stable this week than the other currencies, it dipped to around a -0.5% change in exchange rate. Alternatively, the Czech koruna (orange), Polish zloty (blue), and Hungarian forint (green) all took a decent drop in exchange rate against the USD, with the forint taking the biggest hit at a -2.5% change in exchange rate. The zloty and koruna rounded the week just below the forint with a -2.25% and -2% change in exchange rate respectively.

   

CEE Currencies Historical Trends 


 Source: Eurostat and own calculations. Exchange rates are inverted to be Euro per local currency (i.e., an increase indicates a stronger domestic currency). The center line is a rolling three-month average. The upper and lower boundaries are the average plus and average minus one standard deviation, respectively, for the same three-month period.  

 

As the Romanian leu (RON) begins to stagnate at its new peak relative to the past 3 months, the Czech koruna (CZK), Polish zloty (PLN), and Hungarian forint (HUF) continue to climb to new heights despite some shortcomings recently. Czech koruna moves up above a 0.047 exchange rate against the USD while the Hungarian forint begins eyeing a 0.003 exchange rate. The Polish zloty also begins to come close to a 0.28 exchange rate as the recent Polish election has so far not caused too much volatility with the zloty.

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